Organic, Fairtrade and specialty sugars for much of the past decade have seen fast growing niche markets, albeit together they are thought to presently account for less than 0.5% of world sugar consumption and production. With these niche sugars reputedly attracting sometimes significant pricing premiums over conventional sugar, and with ongoing strong fundamentals expected to support continued growth in demand for organic products in key markets, can offtake of niche sugars keep growing at strong rates? There is already evidence of a slow-down. Annual growth in global offtake of organic sugar has slowed to around 4% over recent years, a far cry from the 25% year-on-year increases seen earlier. Several organic sugar producers in Central and South America are in financial difficulty or have stopped production whilst others have chosen to pare back output in response to lower pricing. Even so, there is one major investment in organic sugar production underway in Mozambique for which the proponents cite continuing attractive pricing premiums in both the EU and the US, as well as a positive demand outlook. Fairtrade sales in the UK – the largest Fairtrade market by far – fell in 2014, the first fall in the 20 year history of the Fairtrade Foundation. Established producers of specialty sugars, shipped mainly to the EU and the US, have been hit by competition from direct consumption raw sugar – marketed as a specialty sugar - mainly entering under free trade agreements. Looking ahead, can niche sugar markets escape the fast-growing backlash against sugar and its alleged association with obesity, diabetes and tooth decay? On the supply side, have commercial production incentives been dented by the significant downtrend in world prices for conventional sugar since 2012 and more recently much lower EU prices? Can the traditional specialty sugar producers grow markets in a much more competitive environment where lower value direct consumption raw sugars eat away at market share and pricing? This study provides perspectives on such issues by investigating the markets for organic, Fairtrade and specialty sugars with a view to better understanding recent market developments at the global, regional and country levels. Key markets and suppliers are identified and examined. Data are also collated on production, exports and price premiums.
Introduction
1. Organic Sugar
Organic Product Markets
The Organic Sugar Market
EU
US
Others
Supply Availability
Organic Sugar Producers
South America
North and Central America, the Caribbean
Asia
EU
Africa
New Investment in Production Capacity
2. Fairtrade Sugar
Sales
The UK Market
Suppliers
Top Origins
Others
3. Specialty Sugars
Market Size and Major Players
EU
US
Major Producers
Mauritius
EU
US
World Market
Supply, Storage and Delivery Arrangements
SADC Sugar Agreement
COMESA and Brown Sugar
Malawi
Others
Direct Consumption Raws
Non-Centrifugal Sugar – a Specialty Sugar?
Labelling Confusion in the US
4. Price Premiums
Conclusions
Appendix A: Organic Sugarcane Area and Production by Country 2008-2013
Appendix B: Current Suppliers of Fairtrade Sugar